January 2, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 330 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Donald Cerrone's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Donald Cerrone for the expected result. Had Myles Jury pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 185 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 534 | 1 319 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Donald Cerrone earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 470 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Donald Cerrone controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 17 total strikes, 37 vs 15 significant strikes, 44.6% vs 28.3% accuracy. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:41 | 2:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 455 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Donald Cerrone controlled Myles Jury on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:41 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 466 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -9 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Myles Jury's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 270 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Donald Cerrone continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Myles Jury's now at 0.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Myles Jury |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 184 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.