Donald Cerrone vs Nate Diaz

Nate Diaz's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Diaz for the expected result. Had Donald Cerrone pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Nate Diaz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Nate Diaz dominated the striking exchanges with 260 vs 104 total strikes, 238 vs 96 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 52.7% accuracy. Nate Diaz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Nate Diaz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Donald Cerrone on the ground with 1:04 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Nate Diaz demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Diaz capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Nate Diaz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.