June 17, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 370 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (21 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 228 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:35 | 2:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 582 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Donald Cerrone gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 521 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Donald Cerrone dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 57 total strikes, 73 vs 46 significant strikes, 61.3% vs 49.5% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:43 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 469 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Donald Cerrone controlled Patrick Cote on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:43 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 118 | 153 |
| Activity ELO | 1 569 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -5 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 343 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -9 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 218 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.