Donald Cerrone vs Rafael Dos Anjos

August 27, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1182
(-34)
Donald Cerrone
Winner: Rafael Dos Anjos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Donald Cerrone-34
Rafael Dos Anjos+40
1264
(+40)
Rafael Dos Anjos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -36Rafael Dos Anjos: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Total UFC Fights1013
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1831 205
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Donald Cerrone pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0741 120
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -40Rafael Dos Anjos: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3061 404
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -55Rafael Dos Anjos: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Significant Strikes Landed4039
Significant Strikes Attempted80109
Total Strikes Landed4358
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2011 321
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 35.8% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -58Rafael Dos Anjos: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted16
Ground Control Time1:003:50
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO1 2421 424
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Days Since Last Fight95102
Activity ELO1 2671 341
ELO Change-21+52
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated solid activity levels with 102 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 95-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -20Rafael Dos Anjos: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 1061 179
ELO Change-20+38
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Donald Cerrone's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneRafael Dos Anjos
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0731 120
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.