December 18, 2015
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 347 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (19 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 203 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +61 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Rafael Dos Anjos captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 525 | 1 641 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +114 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 403 | 1 617 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 4 total strikes, 26 vs 4 significant strikes. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 434 | 1 550 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled Donald Cerrone on the ground with 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 540 | 1 501 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 324 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +51 |
Rafael Dos Anjos continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Donald Cerrone's now at 0.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 192 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.