June 10, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Donald Cerrone earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Donald Cerrone controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 47 total strikes, 86 vs 46 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 43.4% accuracy. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Donald Cerrone did not secure a significant ground advantage against Vagner Rocha on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Vagner Rocha's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vagner Rocha is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.