February 28, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 235 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Dong Hyun Kim's 4-fight experience advantage (13 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dong Hyun Kim for the expected result. Had John Hathaway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:02 | 1:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 376 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Dong Hyun Kim gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 414 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -131 |
Dong Hyun Kim dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:12 | 3:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 402 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Dong Hyun Kim landed 2 knockdowns followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 144 | 519 |
| Activity ELO | 1 263 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Dong Hyun Kim demonstrated solid activity levels with 144 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this activity level, while John Hathaway's 519-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 181 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -20 |
Dong Hyun Kim extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Hathaway is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 145 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.