May 22, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 210 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Dong Hyun Kim's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dong Hyun Kim for the expected result. Had Joshua Burkman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 132 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:13 | 2:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 349 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -14 |
Dong Hyun Kim earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:13, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Joshua Burkman was submitted.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 307 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Dong Hyun Kim dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 21 total strikes, 30 vs 20 significant strikes, 68.2% vs 45.5% accuracy. Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:44 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 357 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Dong Hyun Kim dominated Joshua Burkman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 7:44 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 247 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Dong Hyun Kim demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 166 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
Dong Hyun Kim started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 131 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.