July 10, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Dong Hyun Kim's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dong Hyun Kim for the expected result. Had TJ Grant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Dong Hyun Kim earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Dong Hyun Kim controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 33 total strikes, 29 vs 22 significant strikes. Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:25 | 2:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Dong Hyun Kim dominated TJ Grant on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 10:25 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Dong Hyun Kim demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Grant's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Dong Hyun Kim started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.