December 29, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 245 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Dong Hyun Kim's 12-fight experience advantage (17 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dong Hyun Kim for the expected result. Had Tarec Saffiedine pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 158 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 371 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dong Hyun Kim receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 350 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Tarec Saffiedine controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (52 vs 36), superior accuracy (49.5% vs 33.6%). However, since Tarec Saffiedine lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dong Hyun Kim's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:17 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 380 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Dong Hyun Kim edged out Tarec Saffiedine on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 5:17 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 398 | 216 |
| Activity ELO | 1 264 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -9 |
Dong Hyun Kim demonstrated extended layoff with 398 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this activity level, while Tarec Saffiedine's 216-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 195 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -12 |
Dong Hyun Kim extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tarec Saffiedine is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Kim | Tarec Saffiedine |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 157 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

