August 2, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Scott Holtzman's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Scott Holtzman for the expected result. Had Dong Hyun Ma pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Scott Holtzman gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 856 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Scott Holtzman controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 20 total strikes, 44 vs 16 significant strikes, 47.8% vs 27.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Scott Holtzman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 4:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Scott Holtzman landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 167 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +32 |
Scott Holtzman demonstrated solid activity levels with 167 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Scott Holtzman capitalized on this activity level, while Dong Hyun Ma's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 995 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Scott Holtzman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dong Hyun Ma is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dong Hyun Ma | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.