Doug Evans vs Roger Huerta

June 22, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Doug Evans
Winner: Roger Huerta
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Doug Evans-21
Roger Huerta+28
1147
(+28)
Roger Huerta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -25Roger Huerta: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9751 103
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roger Huerta for the expected result. Had Doug Evans pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -17Roger Huerta: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 077
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -23Roger Huerta: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:303:30
Win Type ELO9771 220
ELO Change-23+46
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -36Roger Huerta: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Significant Strikes Landed2034
Significant Strikes Attempted5178
Total Strikes Landed3660
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9641 211
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta edged the striking exchanges with 60 vs 36 total strikes, 34 vs 20 significant strikes. Roger Huerta capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -21Roger Huerta: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted56
Ground Control Time2:523:03
Ground Strikes Landed213
Ground ELO9791 240
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta edged out Doug Evans on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:03 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -14Roger Huerta: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Days Since Last FightN/A77
Activity ELO9861 155
ELO Change-14+43
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roger Huerta capitalized on this activity level, while Doug Evans's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -17Roger Huerta: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9831 094
ELO Change-17+23
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Doug Evans is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Doug Evans: -17Roger Huerta: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDoug EvansRoger Huerta
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 077
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.