October 1, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Douglas Silva de Andrade for the expected result. Had Gaetano Pirrello pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:04 | 2:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -28 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 121 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 5 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 83.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Douglas Silva de Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 255 | 255 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade demonstrated standard activity with 255 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Douglas Silva de Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Gaetano Pirrello's 255-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gaetano Pirrello is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Gaetano Pirrello |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

