February 11, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Douglas Silva de Andrade for the expected result. Had Sergey Morozov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:24 | 3:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -26 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:24, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sergey Morozov was submitted.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 196 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade dominated the striking exchanges with 37 vs 32 significant strikes, 57.8% vs 49.2% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Douglas Silva de Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 2:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade edged out Sergey Morozov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:55 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Douglas Silva de Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Sergey Morozov's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sergey Morozov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Sergey Morozov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

