December 1, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 191 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Drakkar Klose's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drakkar Klose for the expected result. Had Joe Solecki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 317 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -42 |
Drakkar Klose earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 226 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Drakkar Klose slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Drakkar Klose capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 265 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Drakkar Klose did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joe Solecki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 491 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -17 |
Drakkar Klose demonstrated extended layoff with 491 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Drakkar Klose capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Solecki's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 147 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Drakkar Klose extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Solecki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 116 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.