December 14, 2024
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +42 |
Joel Alvarez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Drakkar Klose.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:48 | 2:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 297 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +97 |
Joel Alvarez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Joel Alvarez edged the striking exchanges with 39 vs 16 total strikes, 20 vs 7 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 53.8% accuracy. Joel Alvarez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 253 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Joel Alvarez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Drakkar Klose on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +52 |
Joel Alvarez demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joel Alvarez capitalized on this activity level, while Drakkar Klose's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 144 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Joel Alvarez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drakkar Klose is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.