July 29, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 153 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Drakkar Klose's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drakkar Klose for the expected result. Had Rafa Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Drakkar Klose earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 164 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Drakkar Klose controlled the striking exchanges with 111 vs 83 total strikes, 61 vs 34 significant strikes. Drakkar Klose capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Drakkar Klose edged out Rafa Garcia on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 182 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Drakkar Klose demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drakkar Klose capitalized on this activity level, while Rafa Garcia's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Drakkar Klose extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafa Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

