August 6, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 938 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Vince Morales's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vince Morales for the expected result. Had Drako Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 956 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 910 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Vince Morales earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 151 | 196 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 867 | 895 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Vince Morales controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 60 total strikes, 76 vs 55 significant strikes. Vince Morales capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:14 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 908 | 943 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Vince Morales did not secure a significant ground advantage against Drako Rodriguez on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Vince Morales demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Vince Morales capitalized on this activity level, while Drako Rodriguez's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 956 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Vince Morales started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drako Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drako Rodriguez | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 956 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.