Drew Dober vs Efrain Escudero

June 12, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Drew Dober
Winner: Efrain Escudero
Submission
Round 1 • 0:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober-31
Efrain Escudero+41
1040
(+41)
Efrain Escudero

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -30Efrain Escudero: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Total UFC Fights510
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9371 018
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Efrain Escudero's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Efrain Escudero for the expected result. Had Drew Dober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Efrain Escudero: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 002
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -42Efrain Escudero: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:540:54
Win Type ELO9881 117
ELO Change-42+91
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What Happened

Efrain Escudero locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:54 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -29Efrain Escudero: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Significant Strikes Landed01
Significant Strikes Attempted31
Total Strikes Landed01
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9481 105
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -62Efrain Escudero: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:22
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 024989
ELO Change-62+62
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -19Efrain Escudero: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Days Since Last Fight84119
Activity ELO9711 069
ELO Change-19+48
💡

What Happened

Efrain Escudero demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Efrain Escudero capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Efrain Escudero: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9631 017
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Efrain Escudero extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Efrain Escudero: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberEfrain Escudero
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 002
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.