January 26, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Drew Dober's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Frank Camacho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Drew Dober earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 145 | 106 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 322 | 223 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 161 | 148 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 131 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 145 vs 106 significant strikes. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 3:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 137 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Drew Dober did not secure a significant ground advantage against Frank Camacho on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:25 of control time, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Camacho's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Drew Dober extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Camacho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

