Drew Dober vs Jason Gonzalez

September 9, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1051
(+46)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+46
Jason Gonzalez-39
961
(-39)
Jason Gonzalez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +33Jason Gonzalez: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 012967
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Jason Gonzalez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +22Jason Gonzalez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 007978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +90Jason Gonzalez: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:451:45
Win Type ELO1 128963
ELO Change+90-37
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +113Jason Gonzalez: -113

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Significant Strikes Landed2010
Significant Strikes Attempted4130
Total Strikes Landed2310
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 087887
ELO Change+113-113
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 10 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +40Jason Gonzalez: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:110:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 124960
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +26Jason Gonzalez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Days Since Last Fight252N/A
Activity ELO1 027979
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Gonzalez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +26Jason Gonzalez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 016978
ELO Change+26-22
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Gonzalez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +22Jason Gonzalez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJason Gonzalez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 007978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.