July 12, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 21 | -21 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +79 |
Jean Silva overcame a 21-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Drew Dober.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 327 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Jean Silva gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 241 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Drew Dober controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (59 vs 53). However, since Drew Dober lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jean Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Jean Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Drew Dober on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 14 |
| Activity ELO | 1 184 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +205 |
Jean Silva demonstrated exceptional activity with 14 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Jean Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +33 |
Jean Silva extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.