Drew Dober vs Jon Tuck

August 24, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1114
(+32)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+32
Jon Tuck-32
1014
(-32)
Jon Tuck

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +26Jon Tuck: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Total UFC Fights119
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 077962
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Jon Tuck pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +19Jon Tuck: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 046979
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +40Jon Tuck: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2161 122
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +39Jon Tuck: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Significant Strikes Landed6033
Significant Strikes Attempted13675
Total Strikes Landed12239
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1701 043
ELO Change+39-39
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What Happened

Drew Dober dominated the striking exchanges with 122 vs 39 total strikes, 60 vs 33 significant strikes. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +70Jon Tuck: -70

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time7:470:00
Ground Strikes Landed213
Ground ELO1 2071 039
ELO Change+70-70
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled Jon Tuck on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:47 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +23Jon Tuck: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Days Since Last Fight210434
Activity ELO1 0861 003
ELO Change+23-18
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What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Tuck's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +25Jon Tuck: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 066988
ELO Change+25-19
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What Happened

Drew Dober extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Tuck is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +19Jon Tuck: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberJon Tuck
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 046979
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.