July 28, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 847 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -21 |
Drew Dober overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joshua Burkman.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:04 | 3:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -30 |
Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 112 | 828 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 51.7% vs 61.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 120 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Drew Dober landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 017 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.