Drew Dober vs King Green

December 16, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1232
(+44)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+44
King Green-34
1150
(-34)
King Green

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +32King Green: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Total UFC Fights2020
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1851 134
ELO Change+32-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (20 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +19King Green: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1071 036
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +64King Green: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:452:45
Win Type ELO1 4551 267
ELO Change+64-31
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What Happened

Drew Dober gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +65King Green: -65

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Significant Strikes Landed3473
Significant Strikes Attempted121142
Total Strikes Landed3475
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 4241 214
ELO Change+65-65
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What Happened

King Green controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (75 vs 34 total strikes), significant strike advantage (73 vs 34), superior accuracy (51.4% vs 28.1%). However, since King Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Drew Dober's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +69King Green: -69

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:070:11
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 1801 157
ELO Change+69-69
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +55King Green: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Days Since Last Fight141294
Activity ELO1 2481 275
ELO Change+55-27
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +26King Green: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1491 081
ELO Change+26-20
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +19King Green: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKing Green
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1071 036
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.