Drew Dober vs Kyle Prepolec

October 18, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1107
(+19)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 1:16

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+19
Kyle Prepolec-18
909
(-18)
Kyle Prepolec

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +20Kyle Prepolec: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Total UFC Fights264
Experience Gap22-22
Experience ELO1 087918
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 22-fight experience advantage (26 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Kyle Prepolec pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +16Kyle Prepolec: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 048929
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Kyle Prepolec: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:161:16
Win Type ELO1 290918
ELO Change+21-10
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What Happened

Drew Dober gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +44Kyle Prepolec: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Significant Strikes Landed8351
Significant Strikes Attempted161164
Total Strikes Landed8551
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 085874
ELO Change+44-44
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 51 total strikes, 83 vs 51 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 31.1% accuracy. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +10Kyle Prepolec: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:040:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 047828
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +13Kyle Prepolec: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Days Since Last Fight203161
Activity ELO1 168944
ELO Change+13-10
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Prepolec's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +15Kyle Prepolec: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 084934
ELO Change+15-14
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What Happened

Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Prepolec is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +16Kyle Prepolec: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberKyle Prepolec
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 047929
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.