March 29, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +76 |
Manuel Torres overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Drew Dober.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 269 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +138 |
Manuel Torres earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -200 | +200 |
Manuel Torres controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 3 total strikes, 23 vs 3 significant strikes, 92.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Manuel Torres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Manuel Torres controlled Drew Dober on the ground with 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 155 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Manuel Torres demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Manuel Torres capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Manuel Torres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.