Drew Dober vs Marco Polo Reyes

June 28, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1124
(+46)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:07

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+46
Marco Polo Reyes-36
1017
(-36)
Marco Polo Reyes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +31Marco Polo Reyes: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Total UFC Fights137
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 0791 012
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 6-fight experience advantage (13 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Marco Polo Reyes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Marco Polo Reyes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0491 012
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +88Marco Polo Reyes: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:071:07
Win Type ELO1 2681 100
ELO Change+88-37
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +90Marco Polo Reyes: -90

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Significant Strikes Landed165
Significant Strikes Attempted2714
Total Strikes Landed175
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 233973
ELO Change+90-90
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 5 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 35.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +44Marco Polo Reyes: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 116969
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +49Marco Polo Reyes: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Days Since Last Fight112126
Activity ELO1 1271 036
ELO Change+49-20
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Polo Reyes's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +23Marco Polo Reyes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0731 025
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Polo Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Marco Polo Reyes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0491 012
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.