Drew Dober vs Nasrat Haqparast

January 17, 2020

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1166
(+42)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+42
Nasrat Haqparast-35
1058
(-35)
Nasrat Haqparast

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +32Nasrat Haqparast: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Total UFC Fights145
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 1111 050
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Nasrat Haqparast pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Nasrat Haqparast: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0701 020
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +72Nasrat Haqparast: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:101:10
Win Type ELO1 3401 137
ELO Change+72-30
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +95Nasrat Haqparast: -95

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Significant Strikes Landed137
Significant Strikes Attempted2611
Total Strikes Landed137
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3281 116
ELO Change+95-95
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 63.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +47Nasrat Haqparast: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO1 1631 032
ELO Change+47-47
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What Happened

Drew Dober landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +22Nasrat Haqparast: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Days Since Last Fight204169
Activity ELO1 1491 053
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Nasrat Haqparast's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +24Nasrat Haqparast: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0971 035
ELO Change+24-20
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What Happened

Drew Dober extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nasrat Haqparast is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Nasrat Haqparast: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0701 020
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.