May 30, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 910 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Nick Hein earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Drew Dober lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Nick Hein's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:59 | 4:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Nick Hein edged out Drew Dober on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Nick Hein demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nick Hein capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Nick Hein started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.