Drew Dober vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier

December 9, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(-25)
Drew Dober
Winner: Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Submission
Round 2 • 2:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober-25
Olivier Aubin-Mercier+30
1118
(+30)
Olivier Aubin-Mercier

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -26Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Total UFC Fights87
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9861 101
ELO Change-26+28
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -19Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9881 057
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -41Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:572:57
Win Type ELO1 0871 202
ELO Change-41+63
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Drew Dober was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -24Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Significant Strikes Landed2427
Significant Strikes Attempted7153
Total Strikes Landed3330
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 0631 097
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking through superior accuracy (33.8% vs 50.9%), 1 knockdown. However, since Drew Dober lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Olivier Aubin-Mercier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -34Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time1:121:33
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 0901 234
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier edged out Drew Dober on the ground with 1:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -17Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Days Since Last Fight92176
Activity ELO1 0101 121
ELO Change-17+30
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -19Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9971 073
ELO Change-19+23
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -19Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9881 057
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.