February 2, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 133 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +42 |
Renato Moicano overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Drew Dober.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Renato Moicano earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 142 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 262 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Renato Moicano dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 36 total strikes, 54.8% vs 39.0% accuracy. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 10:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Renato Moicano controlled Drew Dober on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 10:33 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 448 |
| Activity ELO | 1 213 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +22 |
Renato Moicano demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Renato Moicano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.