October 6, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 161 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Drew Dober's 12-fight experience advantage (22 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Ricky Glenn pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 417 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -13 |
Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 328 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 5 total strikes, 30 vs 5 significant strikes, 56.6% vs 22.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 156 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Drew Dober landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 238 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Drew Dober demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Ricky Glenn's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 139 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricky Glenn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

