Drew Dober vs Ricky Glenn

October 6, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1204
(+26)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+26
Ricky Glenn-23
1010
(-23)
Ricky Glenn

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Ricky Glenn: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Total UFC Fights2210
Experience Gap12-12
Experience ELO1 161995
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober's 12-fight experience advantage (22 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Ricky Glenn pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +17Ricky Glenn: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 098993
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +30Ricky Glenn: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:362:36
Win Type ELO1 4171 083
ELO Change+30-13
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +46Ricky Glenn: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Significant Strikes Landed305
Significant Strikes Attempted5322
Total Strikes Landed305
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 328965
ELO Change+46-46
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 5 total strikes, 30 vs 5 significant strikes, 56.6% vs 22.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Drew Dober capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +42Ricky Glenn: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:310:00
Ground Strikes Landed80
Ground ELO1 156993
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Ricky Glenn: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Days Since Last Fight154168
Activity ELO1 2381 041
ELO Change+21-12
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Ricky Glenn's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +17Ricky Glenn: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1391 015
ELO Change+17-16
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricky Glenn is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +17Ricky Glenn: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberRicky Glenn
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 098993
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.