Drew Dober vs Scott Holtzman

January 1, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1005
(+36)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+36
Scott Holtzman-34
1002
(-34)
Scott Holtzman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +42Scott Holtzman: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO9791 017
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Scott Holtzman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +25Scott Holtzman: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO985995
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +50Scott Holtzman: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0381 007
ELO Change+50-50
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +26Scott Holtzman: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Significant Strikes Landed3638
Significant Strikes Attempted8869
Total Strikes Landed6379
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9741 009
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Scott Holtzman controlled the striking through superior volume (79 vs 63 total strikes), superior accuracy (55.1% vs 40.9%). However, since Scott Holtzman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Drew Dober's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +60Scott Holtzman: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Takedowns Landed52
Takedowns Attempted145
Ground Control Time5:153:59
Ground Strikes Landed411
Ground ELO1 084997
ELO Change+60-60
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What Happened

Drew Dober controlled Scott Holtzman on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 5:15 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +30Scott Holtzman: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Days Since Last Fight204148
Activity ELO1 001996
ELO Change+30-24
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What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Holtzman's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +27Scott Holtzman: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO990997
ELO Change+27-25
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What Happened

Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Holtzman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +25Scott Holtzman: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberScott Holtzman
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO985995
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.