Drew Dober vs Sean Spencer

November 29, 2013

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-29)
Drew Dober
Winner: Sean Spencer
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober-29
Sean Spencer+34
1010
(+34)
Sean Spencer

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -31Sean Spencer: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9691 032
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Sean Spencer's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Spencer for the expected result. Had Drew Dober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Sean Spencer: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -46Sean Spencer: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9541 016
ELO Change-46+46
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What Happened

Sean Spencer earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -40Sean Spencer: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Significant Strikes Landed61105
Significant Strikes Attempted226270
Total Strikes Landed67109
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO960991
ELO Change-40+40
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What Happened

Sean Spencer controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 67 total strikes, 105 vs 61 significant strikes, 38.9% vs 27.0% accuracy. Sean Spencer capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -28Sean Spencer: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted111
Ground Control Time3:040:52
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO972902
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Sean Spencer did not secure a significant ground advantage against Drew Dober on the ground with 0:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Sean Spencer: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Days Since Last FightN/A88
Activity ELO9791 068
ELO Change-21+62
💡

What Happened

Sean Spencer demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sean Spencer capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Sean Spencer: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9791 028
ELO Change-21+25
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What Happened

Sean Spencer extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: -21Sean Spencer: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberSean Spencer
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.