November 29, 2013
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Sean Spencer's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Spencer for the expected result. Had Drew Dober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Sean Spencer earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 226 | 270 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Sean Spencer controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 67 total strikes, 105 vs 61 significant strikes, 38.9% vs 27.0% accuracy. Sean Spencer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 972 | 902 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Sean Spencer did not secure a significant ground advantage against Drew Dober on the ground with 0:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 88 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +62 |
Sean Spencer demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sean Spencer capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Sean Spencer extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

