Drew Dober vs Terrance McKinney

March 11, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1167
(+34)
Drew Dober
Winner: Drew Dober
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Dober+34
Terrance McKinney-28
1075
(-28)
Terrance McKinney

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +33Terrance McKinney: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Total UFC Fights183
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 1301 077
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Drew Dober's 15-fight experience advantage (18 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Dober for the expected result. Had Terrance McKinney pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Terrance McKinney: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0711 021
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +67Terrance McKinney: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:173:17
Win Type ELO1 3631 175
ELO Change+67-31
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What Happened

Drew Dober earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +64Terrance McKinney: -64

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Significant Strikes Landed1736
Significant Strikes Attempted3761
Total Strikes Landed3143
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 3311 117
ELO Change+64-64
💡

What Happened

Terrance McKinney controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (36 vs 17), superior accuracy (59.0% vs 45.9%), 1 knockdown. However, since Terrance McKinney lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Drew Dober's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +25Terrance McKinney: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:241:33
Ground Strikes Landed916
Ground ELO1 0951 120
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +15Terrance McKinney: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Days Since Last Fight27414
Activity ELO1 1671 034
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

Drew Dober demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Drew Dober capitalized on this activity level, while Terrance McKinney's 14-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Terrance McKinney: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1051 031
ELO Change+21-19
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What Happened

Drew Dober started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Terrance McKinney is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Dober: +21Terrance McKinney: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew DoberTerrance McKinney
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0711 021
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.