August 5, 2005
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 006 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -45 |
Drew Fickett earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 000 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Drew Fickett controlled Josh Neer on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Drew Fickett demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew Fickett capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Neer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Drew Fickett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Neer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

