December 12, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Karo Parisyan's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karo Parisyan for the expected result. Had Drew Fickett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Karo Parisyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Karo Parisyan controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 63 total strikes, 56 vs 47 significant strikes. Karo Parisyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 4:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 068 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Karo Parisyan edged out Drew Fickett on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:45 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 159 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Karo Parisyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karo Parisyan capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Fickett's 159-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Karo Parisyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Fickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Karo Parisyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.