Drew Fickett vs Keita Nakamura

April 4, 2007

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1070
(+27)
Drew Fickett
Winner: Drew Fickett
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Drew Fickett+27
Keita Nakamura-24
935
(-24)
Keita Nakamura

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +27Keita Nakamura: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Total UFC Fights72
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 040940
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Drew Fickett's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Fickett for the expected result. Had Keita Nakamura pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +19Keita Nakamura: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 025959
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +25Keita Nakamura: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 130928
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Drew Fickett earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +40Keita Nakamura: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Significant Strikes Landed7932
Significant Strikes Attempted17488
Total Strikes Landed13249
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 059931
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Drew Fickett dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 49 total strikes, 79 vs 32 significant strikes, 45.4% vs 36.4% accuracy. Drew Fickett capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +31Keita Nakamura: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time6:443:01
Ground Strikes Landed296
Ground ELO1 099841
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Drew Fickett controlled Keita Nakamura on the ground with 2 takedowns, 6:44 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +33Keita Nakamura: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Days Since Last Fight113113
Activity ELO1 144965
ELO Change+33-13
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What Happened

Drew Fickett demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Fickett capitalized on this activity level, while Keita Nakamura's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +21Keita Nakamura: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 036959
ELO Change+21-19
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What Happened

Drew Fickett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keita Nakamura is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Drew Fickett: +19Keita Nakamura: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDrew FickettKeita Nakamura
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 025959
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.