July 7, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Drew Fickett's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew Fickett for the expected result. Had Kurt Pellegrino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -30 |
Drew Fickett earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kurt Pellegrino was submitted.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Kurt Pellegrino controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (25 vs 18). However, since Kurt Pellegrino lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Drew Fickett's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 7:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Drew Fickett controlled Kurt Pellegrino on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:36 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 173 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Drew Fickett demonstrated solid activity levels with 173 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Drew Fickett capitalized on this activity level, while Kurt Pellegrino's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Drew Fickett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kurt Pellegrino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew Fickett | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.