January 22, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Patrick Cote's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Drew McFedries pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 098 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +112 |
Patrick Cote earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Patrick Cote controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 8 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 53.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 998 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Patrick Cote landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 226 | 152 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +38 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Drew McFedries's 226-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Patrick Cote extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew McFedries is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.