May 22, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Drew McFedries's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Drew McFedries for the expected result. Had Xavier Foupa-Pokam pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:37 | 0:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -29 |
Drew McFedries secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:37 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 189 | 813 |
| ELO Change | +143 | -143 |
Drew McFedries dominated the striking exchanges with 8 vs 0 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Drew McFedries capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 836 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Drew McFedries demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Drew McFedries capitalized on this activity level, while Xavier Foupa-Pokam's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Drew McFedries started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Xavier Foupa-Pokam is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Drew McFedries | Xavier Foupa-Pokam |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

