July 7, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 400 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -36 |
Dricus Du Plessis overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Robert Whittaker.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 143 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:23 | 2:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 583 | 1 563 |
| ELO Change | +124 | -60 |
Dricus Du Plessis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 575 | 1 455 |
| ELO Change | +159 | -159 |
Dricus Du Plessis controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 32 total strikes, 62 vs 31 significant strikes, 59.6% vs 44.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dricus Du Plessis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 463 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Dricus Du Plessis landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 294 | 1 388 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Dricus Du Plessis demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dricus Du Plessis capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Whittaker's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 254 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -34 |
Dricus Du Plessis continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Robert Whittaker's now at 0.
| Metric | Dricus Du Plessis | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 142 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.