November 12, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Duane Ludwig receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 99 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 231 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Duane Ludwig controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 84 total strikes, 99 vs 60 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 54.5% accuracy. Duane Ludwig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 3:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Duane Ludwig did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nick Osipczak on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:03 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 237 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Duane Ludwig demonstrated standard activity with 237 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Duane Ludwig capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Osipczak's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Duane Ludwig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Osipczak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Duane Ludwig | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.