June 4, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Gregory Rodrigues overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dusko Todorovic.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Gregory Rodrigues earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Gregory Rodrigues controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 46 total strikes, 71 vs 37 significant strikes, 47.3% vs 30.8% accuracy. Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Gregory Rodrigues edged out Dusko Todorovic on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:25 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 976 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Gregory Rodrigues demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this activity level, while Dusko Todorovic's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Gregory Rodrigues started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dusko Todorovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.