January 15, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +79 |
Punahele Soriano earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Punahele Soriano dominated the striking exchanges with 30 vs 22 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Punahele Soriano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Punahele Soriano landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Punahele Soriano demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Punahele Soriano capitalized on this activity level, while Dusko Todorovic's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Punahele Soriano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dusko Todorovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.