May 31, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 839 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Zachary Reese overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dusko Todorovic.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 938 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Zachary Reese earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 811 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Zachary Reese controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 35 significant strikes. Zachary Reese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:30 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Zachary Reese edged out Dusko Todorovic on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:19 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +33 |
Zachary Reese demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zachary Reese capitalized on this activity level, while Dusko Todorovic's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 943 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Zachary Reese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dusko Todorovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dusko Todorovic | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 938 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.