September 18, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:14 | 1:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 139 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -30 |
Dustin Hazelett earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 059 | 827 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Dustin Hazelett edged out Jonathan Goulet on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 95 | 398 |
| Activity ELO | 1 120 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Dustin Hazelett demonstrated solid activity levels with 95 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Goulet's 398-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Dustin Hazelett extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Goulet is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Jonathan Goulet |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.