Dustin Hazelett vs Stevie Lynch

June 15, 2007

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1042
(+48)
Dustin Hazelett
Winner: Dustin Hazelett
Submission
Round 1 • 2:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dustin Hazelett+48
Stevie Lynch-42
958
(-42)
Stevie Lynch

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +31Stevie Lynch: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 032969
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Hazelett for the expected result. Had Stevie Lynch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +21Stevie Lynch: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +71Stevie Lynch: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:502:50
Win Type ELO1 082959
ELO Change+71-41
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +55Stevie Lynch: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Significant Strikes Landed207
Significant Strikes Attempted3428
Total Strikes Landed207
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 017945
ELO Change+55-55
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett edged the striking exchanges with 20 vs 7 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 25.0% accuracy. Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +126Stevie Lynch: -126

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:170:19
Ground Strikes Landed60
Ground ELO1 054874
ELO Change+126-126
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett dominated Stevie Lynch on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +37Stevie Lynch: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Days Since Last Fight133N/A
Activity ELO1 076981
ELO Change+37-19
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this activity level, while Stevie Lynch's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +25Stevie Lynch: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 029979
ELO Change+25-21
💡

What Happened

Dustin Hazelett extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stevie Lynch is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dustin Hazelett: +21Stevie Lynch: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.