November 14, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Dustin Hazelett's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Hazelett for the expected result. Had Tamdan McCrory pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:59 | 3:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 233 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -29 |
Dustin Hazelett earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Tamdan McCrory controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (15 vs 10). However, since Tamdan McCrory lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dustin Hazelett's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 200 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Dustin Hazelett dominated Tamdan McCrory on the ground with 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 191 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Dustin Hazelett demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this activity level, while Tamdan McCrory's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Dustin Hazelett extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tamdan McCrory is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dustin Hazelett | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.